Severe Weather Europe

Telli voog Uudisvoog Severe Weather Europe
“Follow severe weather as it happens. Anywhere. Any time.”
Internetiaadress: http://www.severe-weather.eu
Uuendatud: 32 minutit tagasi

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 24/06/2019)

24. Juuni 2019 - 11:26


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS The ridge is strengthening over much of Europe with two features of interest for convective activity. A large upper low over the Bay of Biscay and just W od Iberia and a shallow upper low moving across the S Balkans. At the surface, a frontal boundary extends from SE England across W France into N Iberia, while another front is moving south across W Russia. DISCUSSION ENH / SLGT risks have been issued for W/N France across English channel into England, Wales and E Ireland with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall, large hail and some tornado threat. A healthy moisture recovery will be underway under a relatively strong SW […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Historic outbreak of noctilucent clouds over Europe – June 21st, 2019

23. Juuni 2019 - 21:40


It is now abundantly clear that this was likely the most widespread outbreak of noctilucent clouds ever observed over Europe. Noctilucent clouds were reported from Poland to the UK and from Denmark to Italy and Croatia – and everywhere in between. Not only that: while typically NLCs are only visible low in the northern sky, they covered half the sky and more across many locations. In some places NLCs were so bright that people could read under their light! This unprecedented display continues the exceptionally active NLC season of 2019: the first NLCs were reported as early as May 28th and several major displays had already happened in the first three weeks of June. Noctilucent cloud displays were noted across […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 22/06/2019)

22. Juuni 2019 - 12:17


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ +++ A severe weather outbreak appears likely across parts of the northern Balkan peninsula – intense supercells with very large to giant hail, torential rainfall, severe damaging winds and tornadoes are expected to develop! +++ SYNOPSIS While most of the European continent is dominated by a strong upper ridge, a shallow but well-defined upper low / wave crosses N Italy and continues towards N Balkans during the day and support widespread convective activity. A very deep trough / low is located over the N Atlantic, resulting in strong SW warm advection into the continent. Another shallow upper low is centered over E Mediterranean. DISCUSSION HIGH risk has been issued for SE Slovenia into Croatia with threat […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

“One of the most epic sights in the sky”: HUGE noctilucent cloud outbreak over Europe tonight – June 21st, 2019

22. Juuni 2019 - 1:04


“One of the most epic sights in the sky I have ever seen!!” was tonight’s noctilucent cloud display called by Jure Atanackov of Ljubljana, Slovenia – a veteran of meteor storms, total solar eclipses, great comets and auroral storms. Indeed, these sentiments were mirrored by thousands of skywatchers across Europe. Tonight’s noctilucent cloud outbreak may well have been *the* largest and widespread ever observed over Europe! Noctilucent clouds – the most unusual, extreme clouds on Earth Even as far south as Hungary, Slovenia and Croatia, at 45°N, noctilucent clouds covered more than half the sky. This is by far the largest sky coverage ever recorded from these latitudes! See the first reports below – we will be updating these regularly! […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

*UPDATE* on the intense heat wave next week – much above normal temperatures will develop across west-central Europe, June 24-30th 2019

20. Juuni 2019 - 18:28


The latest model guidance by both GFS and ECMWF is in quite good agreement in developing a very intense heat wave early next week, with 16 to almost 20 °C warmer temperatures at 850 mbar level lasting until the weekend. This could possibly push near-surface peak afternoon temperatures into low 30s across S England and upper 30s (36-40 °C) across parts of France, Benelux and Germany from Tuesday through Saturday! Let us take a look over the latest trends based on the GFS model across western Europe. The 850 mbar tempeature anomaly sequence indicate the heat wave will significantly intensify by Tuesday over France, expanding into UK and Ireland on Wednesday and continue across Benelux and Germany until Saturday. It […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 20/06/2019)

19. Juuni 2019 - 18:07


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS Large long-wave trough persists across N Atlantic and W europe with two lows embedded, over over the Bay of Biscay and another N of UK. Strong ridge persists across east-central Europe. DISCUSSION SLGT risk has been issued for S Sweden, E/S Germany, Czechia, Poland into W Belarus and Baltic states with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and marginally large hail. Moderately MLCAPE and shear should support organized severe storms, including isolated supercells with locally large to very large hail possible. Storms could cluster into a larger system towards the evening hours, enhancing threat for severe damaging winds as well. SLGT risk has been issued for S France, N Spain, […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

A significant heat wave with peak temperatures above 35 °C is becoming increasingly likely next week, June 24-30th 2019

19. Juuni 2019 - 13:37


Models are is a good agreement of developing an intense heat wave across a large part of west-central Europe, starting on Monday next week and likely extending until the weekend. Both global models GFS and ECMWF are hinting at peak afternoon temperatures in excess of 35-38 °C in some areas next week! Let us take a look over some details. The pattern evolution seems to be trending towards the extensive omega blocking ridge developing over Europe through mid next week, with two upper low on the edge – one over the N Atlantic and another one over the SE Europe. The heat wave starts after Sunday when a powerful upper ridge develops over our continent. Soon as the omega pattern […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 19/06/2019)

18. Juuni 2019 - 23:28


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS Strong upper ridge remains over E-CNTRL Europe with a weakening upper low over the E Mediterranean. Deep trough is located over the N Atlantic with a short-wave with an associated surface front pushed across France and Benelux and NW Germany. DISCUSSION ENH risk had been issued for NE France, Benelux across NW Germany into Denmark with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large hail. A moderately strong instability and shear overlap well within the risk area, becoming supportive of organized severe storms, including isolated supercells with locally very large hail possible. Storms should cluster into a larger system towards the evening hours, enhancing threat for severe damaging winds as […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 18/06/2019)

17. Juuni 2019 - 17:16


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS Strong ridge persists across E-CNTRL and N Europe while upper low over E Mediterranean finally weakens. A large trough over the N Atlantic and WSW Europe has two deep lows embedded, one N of UK and another one over the Bay of Biscay. This southern low pushes towards France, together with a surface frontal system. A diffuse front remains over the northern Balkan and E Europe. DISCUSSION ENH / SLGT risks have been issued for France, Benelux into NW Germany and Denmark with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large to very hail. A healthy moisture recovery takes place and results in moderately strong instability which overlaps well with […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 17/06/2019)

17. Juuni 2019 - 8:59


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A weakening large upper trough / low is located over the N Atlantic and W Europe while upper ridge persists over E-CNTRL and N Europe. A deep low moves across the Azores. A shallow upper low remains over the E Mediterranean. DISCUSSION SLGT risk has been issued for large part of Balkan peninsula with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and marginally large hail. Rather widespread convective activity is expected under moderately strong but weakly sheared environment. Slow moving storms could locally produce hail accumulation and flash floods. SLGT risk has been issued for NNE Turkey with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 16/06/2019)

16. Juuni 2019 - 3:30


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A large deep trough / low remains over N Atlantic while ridge is strengthening across the ENE Europe. A weak short-wave crosses the Alps ith a surface front over the N Balkans. Weak upper low remains over E Mediterranean and W Turkey. DISCUSSION ENH risk has been issued for E Slovenia, N/E Croatia, E Austria, W Czechia, W-CNTRL Slovakia into S Poland and W-CNTRL Hungary, N Bosnia into NW Serbia with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential / excessive rainfall and large to very large hail. Strong to extreme instability is again available over the risk area while surface winds should turn into NNE-erlies. Weak mid/upper-level winds are present aloft. This […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 15/06/2019)

14. Juuni 2019 - 19:45


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS Strong trough / low persists across W Europe and N Atlantic while upper low remains over the N Mediterranean. A short-wave crosses S France in the afternoon hours while another wave with frontal system moves across NE Germany and Poland. In between, strong ridge persists across E-CNTRL and N Europe. DISCUSSION ENH risk has been issued for NE Germany, N Czech Republic into N/W-CNTRL Poland with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall, large to very large hail and some tornado threat. Organized severe storms are expected to form along the cold front in the afternoon hours, within a strongly unstable and sheared environment. Supercells are likely with damaging hail and […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 14/06/2019)

13. Juuni 2019 - 21:20


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS Strong ridge continues strengthening across the eastern half of Europe while deep trough with two deep cores remains over WSW Europe and N Atlantic. Short-wave trough crosses France towards Benelux with a northwards moving surface front. DISCUSSION ENH risk has been issued for NE France into E Benelux and NNW Germany with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential / excessive rainfall and large hail. Organized storms are expected to develop along the northwards retreating frontal boundary by the late afternoon under moderate strong shear but marginal MLCAPE. Supercells are likely to develop as well, bringing large hail and severe winds as primary threats. SLGT risk has been issued for areas surrounding […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 13/06/2019)

13. Juuni 2019 - 13:30


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS Large trough with two cores sits over WSW Europe while ridge is established over S and E Europe. In between, a short-wave trough with a frontal boundary is located from the Alps towards the Baltic region. Upper low remains over E Mediterranean and the Middle East. DISCUSSION MDT / ENH risks have been issued for NE Austria, W-CNTRL Slovakia, E Czech Republic across E-CNTRL Poland into the Baltic countries with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large to very large hail. Rather widespread activity is expected of strongly organized severe storms, including supercells and bowing segments with damaging winds and a very large hail threat. A cluster of storms […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 11/06/2019)

10. Juuni 2019 - 21:00


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A large deep low is located over WSW Europe, with a shallow upper low over E Mediterranean and Turkey. Strong ridge persists across ENE Europe. DISCUSSION MDT / ENH / SLGT risks have been issued for E half of Germany, extreme S Sweden, W-CNTRL Czech Republic, N Austria into W/N Poland and Baltic states with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall, large to very large hail and tornadoes. While tornado threat seems mostly limited to the northern half of the risk areas where E-SE-erly LL wind profiles are better defined for enhanced SR helicity, very large hail will be the primary threat further south and west with discrete supercell storms. […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 10/06/2019)

9. Juuni 2019 - 18:21


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ +++ A significant threat for severe weather outbreak with intense supercells capable of producing very large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes across E Germany, W Czech Republic and NW Poland is expected on Monday +++ SYNOPSIS A deepening trough / low is located over WSW Europe with a strong upper ridge to its east, over ENE Europe and the Balkan peninsula. In between, a powerful SW-erly jet stream is established. An upper low over E Mediterranean strengthens while moving north towards Turkey. At the surface, a broad cyclone is located across central Europe and the N Mediterranean with a secondary low forming on the Lee (north) side of the Alps. An associated wavy cold frontal boundary […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 09/06/2019)

9. Juuni 2019 - 3:36


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A large upper trough / low persists across WSW Europe while an upper ridge dominates S-CNTRL and ENE Europe. An upper low is located over E Mediterranean and Egypt. At the surface, a diffuse frontal zone extends from Scandinavia SW-wards towards the N Balkans. DISCUSSION SLGT risk has been issued for parts of Romania, Bulgaria, Moldova and S Ukraine with threat for severe storms, capable of producing torrential / excessive rainfall and large hail. Rather widespread slow-moving storms are expected, locally with flash floods and hail accumulation threat. SLGT risk has been issued for Belarus, NW Russia into N Finland with threat for severe storms, capable of producing torrential rainfall, severe winds and large hail. […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 08/06/2019)

8. Juuni 2019 - 0:28


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A weakening upper trough / surface low is progressing NE from the W Europe across the North Sea into Scandinavia. A surface cold front pushes further NE into S Scandinavia and towards E Europe. Strong ridge persists across southern Europe and NW Russia. DISCUSSION SLGT risk has been issued for eastern Balkan countries with threat for marginally large hail with accumulation, severe winds and torrential / excessive rainfall. The widespread activity of some organized slow-moving storms with flash floods and hail accumulation threat is likely. SLGT risk has been issued for SW Russia, Georgia, E Turkey into the Middle East with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, large to very large hail […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 07/06/2019)

6. Juuni 2019 - 20:55


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A deep trough / low is centered over WSW Europe with a deep cyclone moving from the Bay of Biscay into NW France. An extensive upper ridge persists across south, east and north Europe. DISCUSSION ENH risk has been issued for N France, Benelux into NW Germany with threat for severe winds, torrential rainfall, large hail and some tornado threat. A severe line of storms will develop along the front and rapidly push across the risk area from SW to NE direction in the afternoon hours. Strong LL shear / helicity ahead of the front could support tornadic storms as well. Damaging winds are possible. ENH risk has been issued for W France into the […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 06/06/2019)

5. Juuni 2019 - 17:58


Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A strong ridge persists across N-NE Europe while an upper low over the S Balkan peninsula weakens. To the west, a very deep trough with an intense surface cyclone and front moves across WSW Europe. Another front, associated with the low over the North Sea, continues across central Europe towards east. Another focus for robust convective activity remains a stalled diffuse frontal zone extends from the Baltic sea towards Georgia. DISCUSSION ENH risk has been issued for NE Germany, E-CNTRL Czech Republic, W Poland, W-CNTRL Slovakia and E Denmark into S Sweden with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, large hail and torrential / excessive rainfall. Scattered severe storms are expected to […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

21. augusti ekstreemumid 2009-2019

AastaMaks.KeskmineMin.
201918,6°C13,86°C6,9°C
201819,7°C15,46°C10,7°C
201721,0°C15,42°C10,9°C
201626,4°C18,98°C10,3°C
201524,8°C15,96°C4,6°C
201420,2°C15,22°C10,8°C
201321,9°C17,16°C9,7°C
201217,7°C12,21°C1,5°C
201122,5°C16,25°C8,8°C
201021,7°C16,82°C7,9°C
200921,0°C13,86°C2,8°C

Ilmateenistuse ennustus

8...16°C
17...22°C
8...15°C
17...22°C
8...15°C
17...22°C
11...16°C
18...24°C

Rõhkkonnad Eestis

PäevMadal- rõhkkondKõrg- rõhkkond
21.08.Nimetu
20.08.Bernd
19.08.Bernd
18.08.Beatrix
17.08.Beatrix

Ennustuse täpsuse jooksva kuu parimad

AllikasPäevi%
Yr.no293,17%
Yr.no193,17%
Ilmateenistus 189,88%
Ilmateenistus 389,05%
Ilmateenistus 288,93%

Päevarekordid

Täna Tallinnas kõige soojem on olnud 26,5°C (1951) ja külmem 5,3°C (1933).

Täna Tartus kõige soojem on olnud 29,8°C (1972) ja külmem 2,8°C (1914).

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