Välismaa uudised

Rising potential for shallow warm core development in the far eastern Mediterranean, Oct 24-25th

Severe Weather Europe - 23. Oktoober 2019 - 22:38


An upper low is located over the E Mediterranean and the Middle East with a gradually deepening surface low over the sea south of Cyprus. Fairly active convective storms are visible since mid-afternoon today. In addition, several models are hinting development of a shallow warm core tomorrow during the day and system could intensity further. […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Finally, the first serious *Arctic outbreak* of the season is coming up next week, Oct 29-31st

Severe Weather Europe - 23. Oktoober 2019 - 18:01


Who has enough of this unusually warm weather for mid-autumn and who is ready for winter? As mentioned yesterday – *Pattern shift* Weather pattern shift underway, will bring cold air to USA and Europe next week! Snow cover across hemisphere expands rapidly! – It appears likely we are facing the first serious cold Arctic outbreak […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Severe storms with intense / excessive rainfall and flooding threat across S France and NW Italy today

Severe Weather Europe - 23. Oktoober 2019 - 13:39


Widespread convective storms are ongoing across the western Mediterranean today, resulting in intense and excessive rainfall into southern France. Activity is gradually spreading east towards NW Italy. Locally up to near 200 mm is possible until tomorrow morning, Thursday, Oct 24th! The pattern supporting this activity reveals a strong ridge across E Europe with a […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Super typhoon BUALOI remains a powerful Category 4 and is on its way towards Iwo Jima island tomorrow

Severe Weather Europe - 23. Oktoober 2019 - 0:37


Super typhoon Bualoi continues to show an impressive structure and intensity today, it was maintaining a strong Category 4 strength through the last 24 hours and it continues towards Iwo Jima. The small island will get a direct hit and potential landfall of this violent typhoon in the next 18-24 hours, at around 15-18 UTC […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

*Pattern shift* Weather pattern shift underway, will bring cold air to USA and Europe next week! Snow cover across hemisphere expands rapidly!

Severe Weather Europe - 22. Oktoober 2019 - 23:28


October is slowly coming to an end, which means that the global circulation is going through some specific changes as we slowly move into the colder season for the Northern Hemisphere. We are witnessing an onset of a pattern change, which will enable the transport of colder air from the polar regions down into the […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Satellite data used to calculate snow depth in mountain ranges

ScienceDaily - 22. Oktoober 2019 - 19:11
Bioscience engineers have developed a method to measure the snow depth in all mountain ranges in the Northern Hemisphere using satellites. This technique makes it possible to study areas that cannot be accessed for local measurements, such as the Himalayas.
Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Climate warming promises more frequent extreme El Niño events

ScienceDaily - 21. Oktoober 2019 - 22:33
New research, based on 33 historical El Niño events from 1901 to 2017, show climate change effects have shifted the El Niño onset location from the eastern Pacific to the western Pacific and caused more frequent extreme El Niño events since the 1970's. Continued warming over the western Pacific warm pool, driven by anthropogenic climate change, promises conditions that will trigger more extreme events in the future.
Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

*UPDATE* typhoon BUALOI is now crossing the Marianas and continues rapidly strengthening – expected to reach Category 4 by tomorrow!

Severe Weather Europe - 21. Oktoober 2019 - 22:04


Typhoon Bualoi continues strengthening today and is now a solid Category 3 typhoon. As of 12 UTC today, Oct 21st, Bualoi has intensified from 80 mph to 120 mph within past 24 hours! It is now crossing the northern Marianas and is expected to head towards Japan’s Iwo Jima island by Thursday while increasigly likely […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

*UPDATE* on the record-breaking late October ‘heatwave’ across east-central Europe this week

Severe Weather Europe - 21. Oktoober 2019 - 12:01


Models are confirming an extremely warm airmass spreading and maintaining across a large part of east-central Europe and the Balkan peninsula this week, both low- and mid-levels will experience 10-15 °C warmer airmass than normally for this period. Temperatures will locally climb towards the 30 °C! Let’s see some day-to-day details regarding the pattern evolution […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

*UPDATE* Typhoon BUALOI is now rapidly intensifying, continues towards northern Mariana islands

Severe Weather Europe - 21. Oktoober 2019 - 9:55


As more or less expected, typhoon Bualoi continued its gradual strengthening during the 24 hours, but it is now beginning its rapid intensification phase. It continues towards the northern Mariana islands and should pass north of the island Saipan later today. A direct hit of Japan’s Iwo Jima islands seems increasingly likely on Thursday, Oct […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Another typhoon will travel across the western Pacific this week – BUALOI on its way towards Mariana islands, Oct 20-25th

Severe Weather Europe - 20. Oktoober 2019 - 13:37


Yet another typhoon, Bualoi, has formed in the western Pacific and is heading towards Mariana islands first, then gradually turning its curvature north towards Japan. Bualoi is traveling across the unusually warm waters east of Guam right now and is gaining organization and strength. The future track will bring the typhoon towards Japan, which however […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Unusually strong positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event develops, powers severe droughts in Australia, and supports warmer October in Europe.

Severe Weather Europe - 20. Oktoober 2019 - 1:07


There are many global factors and influences that drive our climate and the weather that we feel. A lot of these “drivers” come from the oceans around the world. One such driver (or index) is the Indian Ocean Dipole, also know as the IOD. As the name already suggests, this index can be found in […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Very warm weather intensifies across east-central Europe, locally close to 30 °C is possible, Oct 21-26th

Severe Weather Europe - 19. Oktoober 2019 - 16:02


The current unusually warm pattern for mid-October is far from finished. The blocking ridge over east-central Europe should intensify and bring another week of extremely warm days for late October, with afternoon temperatures locally climbing into 26-29 °C range! Monday, Oct 21st The upper ridge across the eastern half of Europe and expands into the […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Extreme amount of rainfall (locally 300-400 mm) is expected across the western Alps through the next 3 days, Oct 19-21st

Severe Weather Europe - 19. Oktoober 2019 - 15:17


The first serious autumn pattern is establishing over the Alps this weekend as major rainfall event is expected. Locally, more than 300-400 mm seems increasingly likely until Monday evening. This is a textbook pattern for an intense and excessive rainfall with huge amounts of rainfall over the Alps. The overall pattern has established a strong […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Land management practices to reduce nitrogen load may be affected by climate changes

ScienceDaily - 19. Oktoober 2019 - 1:10
Nitrogen from agricultural production is a major cause of pollution in the Mississippi River Basin and contributes to large dead zones in the Gulf of Mexico. Illinois and other Midwestern states have set goals to reduce nitrogen load through strategies that include different land management practices. A new study uses computer modeling to estimate how those practices may be affected by potential changes in the climate, such as increased rainfall.
Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

*Winter 2019/2020* Statistical winter outlook – Solar cycle and ENSO!

Severe Weather Europe - 17. Oktoober 2019 - 20:55


Two weeks ago, we wrote about the latest long range model forecasts, and what they show for the upcoming winter 2019/2020. While we wait for the latest October model updates, we will take a more statistical approach to seasonal forecasting. Statistical forecasting is exactly what it sounds like. We analyze the global climate data, and […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

UPDATE: Powerful Nor’easter cyclone for the US East Coast on Thursday!

Severe Weather Europe - 17. Oktoober 2019 - 1:05


A powerful Nor’easter cyclone is developing along the northeast coast of the US. It will peak in strength early on Thursday local time, bringing a severe windstorm, major waves and large amounts of rainfall to New England region! As of 18h UTC the deepening surface low was located on the border of Virginia and Delaware […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Last year's extreme snowfall wiped out breeding of Arctic animals and plants

ScienceDaily - 16. Oktoober 2019 - 0:15
In 2018, vast amounts of snow were spread across most of the Arctic region and did not melt fully until late summer, if at all. Researchers documented the consequences of this extreme weather event at Zackenberg, Northeast Greenland by extensively monitoring all components of the local ecosystem for more than 20 years, allowing them to compare life in the extreme year of 2018 to other, more 'normal,' years.
Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Artificial intelligence and farmer knowledge boost smallholder maize yields

ScienceDaily - 15. Oktoober 2019 - 23:46
Farmers in Colombia's maize-growing region of Córdoba had seen it all: too much rain one year, a searing drought the next. Yields were down and their livelihoods hung in the balance. To better deal with climate stress, farmers in Colombia's maize-growing region of Córdoba needed information services that would help them decide what varieties to plant, when they should sow and how they should manage their crops.
Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

Explosive bomb Nor’easter cyclone set to hit US East Coast on Thursday

Severe Weather Europe - 15. Oktoober 2019 - 21:51


A very powerful Nor’easter cyclone will explosively develop along the eastern coast of the US on Thursday. Winds gusting above 80-90 mph, torrential rainfall and severe easterly winds that will produce intense waves and coastal flooding are expected on the coasts of Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Maine. The nor’easter will rapidly deepen early on Thursday […]

Kategooriad: Välismaa uudised

24. oktoobri ekstreemumid 2009-2019

AastaMaks.KeskmineMin.
201911,8°C9,94°C7,7°C
20188,0°C4,86°C1,2°C
20176,0°C-0,01°C-7,3°C
20166,2°C4,34°C2,1°C
201513,0°C8,33°C-1,1°C
20144,9°C-1,76°C-8,7°C
201314,4°C11,04°C8,1°C
20129,4°C6,37°C2,3°C
201111,7°C7,74°C0,0°C
20108,7°C5,76°C2,2°C
20098,0°C5,33°C2,6°C

Ilmateenistuse ennustus

5...11°C
9...12°C
5...11°C
10...15°C
6...11°C
9...13°C
3...8°C
5...10°C

Rõhkkonnad Eestis

PäevMadal- rõhkkondKõrg- rõhkkond
21.10.Nimetu
21.10.Thilo
20.10.Thilo
19.10.Thilo
18.10.Thilo

Ennustuse täpsuse jooksva kuu parimad

AllikasPäevi%
Yr.no195,32%
Yr.no293,62%
Yr.no392,87%
Forecast.io192,55%
Forecast.io291,81%

Päevarekordid

Täna Tallinnas kõige soojem on olnud 13,5°C (1923) ja külmem -11,2°C (1885).

Täna Tartus kõige soojem on olnud 15,2°C (1923) ja külmem -7,7°C (1992).

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Ilmateenistuse hoiatused

24.10. hommikupoolikul tugevneb edela- ja lõunatuul puhanguti kuni 9 m/s.

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Statistika: METRIX.Station

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20,2% on kuu nähtav.
5 päeva on noorkuuni.
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