Severe Weather Europe

Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYONPSIS A deep trough / large upper low pushes from west towards central Europe and N Mediterranean with an intense cold-core across S France towards N Italy. An associated cold front moves through the N Mediterranean. Upper ridge persists across N and E Europe. DISCUSSION MDT risk has been issued for N Italy into N Adriatic and W Slovenia with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential / excessive rainfall, large to very large hail and tornadoes. Widespread convective activity is expected as short-wave / deep cold-core pushes across the N Mediterranean, fueled by strong to locally extreme instability with MLCAPE in excess of 2500-3000 J/kg, overlapped with moderate shear. An enhanced helicity […]

The WINNER among the 82 entries in Week 8: Marko Korošec‎‎‎‎. 1. place – WINNER: Marko Korošec‎‎ – 305 votes “Simply epic end of chase day along the TX/NM border. May 29th, 2015.” 2. place: Dantex Tex – 238 votes “Shelf cloud approaching to Grado past summer… Pazzi per il meteo goriziano & storm chasing😁” 3. place: Jeroen Vanheers‎‎ – 187 votes “Tornado north of Cheyenne, Wyoming. May 27, 2018.” 4. place: Brendan Gully – 184 votes “May 13, 2018 near Childress Texas. What was meant to be a marginal first day chasing turned out to be the highlight of the trip!” 5. place: Mauro Vitolo‎ – 182 votes “Giugno 2017 Sacile PN Italy” 6. place: Jüri Voit‎ – 162 […]

A new very hot day is expected across much of central and southern Europe today. Daytime highs will push into high 30s across much of the period and again the Netherlands and western Germany could push up to 40 °C. The heat wave in central and south Europe continues. While parts of France receive respite from the scorching heat of the past few days, much of central and southern Europe, and even parts of north Europe, continues with very hot weather. Western parts of Germany will push up to 39-40 °C, with much of the south of the country in the mid 30s. The Netherlands will push into mid to upper-30s, with the south of the country likely reaching 40 […]

Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPIS An upper ridge across central Europe collapses as two features of interest will gradually result in the pattern change. A deep trough / low over the N Atlantic and WSW Europe moves further east towards central Europe and N Mediterranean while a shallow upper low over E Europe retreats towards west. Another upper low is located over SW Russia. Strong ridge persists across N Europe. DISCUSSION ENH risk has been issued for SE Austria, E Slovenia, W Hungary into NNE Croatia and N Bosnia with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large hail. Scattered convective activity is expected from the early afternoon onwards as an approaching shallow upper low […]

No doubt, a day to remember! The peak of the heatwave verified with an unprecedented record across N France, Belgium, Netherlands and W Germany today, July 25th! Tens of towns and cities reported afternoon temperatures between 40 and 43 °C! So extremely high temperatures that were almost impossible or hard to imagine they could actually occur. Numerous all-time / absolute station and even national records were shattered with a bang this afternoon – in addition, some stations recorded unimaginable 2-3 °C higher temperatures than ever before! Lets get into quick details of the peak temperatures recorded. France peaked at +43.1 °C in Saint-Maur-des-Fossés, +42.9 °C was reported in La Brosse-Montceaux and +42.4 °C reported in Nogent-sur-Seine, Achères and also the […]

Parts of the United Kingdom, including England and Scotland, north and west France and parts of BeNeLux. Expect some severe thunderstorms with threats for torrential rainfall, large hail and severe straight line winds. Outlook DAY 1 (valid: 25/07/2019) A deep low is located over the Atlantic just northwest of Ireland, with the frontal system slowly pushing eastward across the Atlantic, Ireland and the British Isles later in the day. Some very considerable, moderate to high instability builds up across England and Scotland through the afternoon and evening hours, with up to 1000-2000 J/kg MLCAPE available ahead of the front. Slightly lower instability, in 700-1500 J/kg MLCAPE range will be present in north France and BeNeLux. Pretty impressive 30-50 kt southerly […]

The historic and record-breaking heat wave continues across parts of western Europe. Yet another extremely hot day occurred yesterday – July 24th. Many locations have already shatterred their all-time heat records, although the hottest day is expected to be Thursday, July 25th! New record values were set across NE France, BeNeLux and W Germany! The heat wave peaks today – July 25th – as another EXTREMELY hot day is expected today – likely with even higher temperatures than have been recorded yesterday. UPDATE: Record-breaking heat wave peaks today, all time maximum temperature records likely to be broken – July 25th Widespread extremely hot temperatures were reached yesterday, as warm advection through the lowest levels intensified to almost its highest anomaly […]

Today will be the hottest day of the ongoing heat wave for the UK. Temperatures will push above 30 °C across most of England, wit the southeastern part likely to push into the mid-30s. Maximum temperatures are expected to push into 36-38 °C across much of E-SE England. Maximum temperatures on Thursday. AROME, ARPEGE, ICON-EU and GFS model guidance. Maps: Wxcharts / Meteociel. Also see: UPDATE: Record-breaking heat wave peaks today, all time maximum temperature records likely to be broken – July 25th

The record-breaking heat wave over W-CNTRL Europe peaks today. Even higher temperatures are expected today, following yesterday’s new record values. New all-time maximum temperature records likely to be reached. Even higher temperatures are expected today, with the entire region in mid to upper 30s and locally into low 40s! Up to 40-42 °C (potentially 43 °C) in central and northeast France, up to 39-41 °C in southwest France. Belgium likely to break yesterday’s all-time record with 40-41 °C. The Netherlands also up to 39-41 °C, up to 1-2 °C higher than yesterday and a new all-time record. Up to 40-42 °C in extreme west-northwest Germany. Maximum temperatures on Thursday for Germany and BeNeLux. ICON-EU, ARPEGE and GFS model guidance. Maps: […]

Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS The core of the upper ridge across Europe gradually moves north while its southern part begins to weaken. A deep trough over N Atlantic pushes into WSW Europe. Shallow upper low remains over the far E Europe. At the surface, deep cyclone moves north just west of Ireland. Strong high pressure remains over N Europe. DISCUSSION SLGT risk has been issued for N France into England and Scotland with threat for isolated severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large hail. Inverted-V forecast soundings indicated an enhanced threat for severe convective gusts. SLGT risk has been issued for N Spain into SW France and SE Bay of Biscay with threat for severe […]

The *intense* heat wave in western and central Europe continues. France exceeded 40 °C on Monday and also peaked up to 42 °C on Tuesday, further extremely hot weather is expected. Belgium and the Netherlands may soar to record-breaking temperatures on Thursday. Temperatures are set to approach or push above 40 °C across large areas of France, BeNeLux and western and southern Germany. Belgium and the Netherlands in particularly could break the all-time maximum temperature record. Recall that the highest temperatures on record (per country) are: +40.3 °C in Kitzingen, Germany on 5th of July 2015 and 7th of August 2015 +38.6 °C in Warnsveld, the Netherlands on the 3rd of August, 1944 +38.2 °C in Kleine-Brogel, Belgium on the […]

The extremely intense and record-breaking heat wave continues across parts of western Europe. Afternoon temperatures again soared into low 40s yesterday, especially across France where more than 100 weather stations reported above +40 °C! Spain again peaked at near +41 °C too. The highest temperatures over France peaked into an incredible 40-42 °C range in many regions – the station Montgivray reported +42.5 °C as the maximum of the day! Several station records were broken, including Chateauroux which hit +41.2 ° C shattering its old absolute 113 years old record! The previous record was +40.5 °C set of August 2nd, 1906 while the station has reliable and uninterrupted series since 1893! Let take a look at some of the remarkable […]

Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A strong upper ridge persists across the large part of continental Europe while deep low and an associated surface cyclone over the N Atlantic nears Ireland. A large but shallow upper low is located along the eastern flank of the ridge, resulting in unstable environment across Black sea region and SE Europe. DISCUSSION SLGT risk has been issued for the Bay of Biscay into SW Ireland with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds and torrential rainfall. A deep cyclone supports some convective activity, mainly severe wind threat. SLGT risk has been issued for E UK with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds and torrential rainfall and marginal hail. Threat […]

Some pretty widespread thunderstorms are expected over parts of Wales, England and Scotland and over NW France tonight. Storm coverage will likely be moderate to high, while the severe potential rapidly diminishes from NW France into the UK. A short-wave trough pushes across the British Isles and Ireland tonight, with widespread thunderstorms expected to initiate over NW France and the Channel region and south to southwest England and push northward across England and Wales towards Scotland in the evening and early morning hours. Moderate to locally high instability, with up to 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE will be in place over W France. Up to 1000 J/kg MLCAPE will be in place across much of Wales and England in the early evening, […]

The heat wave is now imminent and the first extremely hot temperatures were recorded across SW Europe yesterday. Locally, temperatures climbed up to near 40 °C in S France and Portugal while Spain peaked up to almost 42 °C! Across the Iberian peninsula, the highest temperatures were recorded across E/S Portugal, WSW and NE Spain. Locally up to almost 42 °C – Andajur (Spain). Maximum temperatures over Iberian peninsula on Monday, July 22nd. Map: Meteociel. The highest temperatures over France peaked at almost 40 °C, recorded over SE and SW parts of France, 39.6 °C – Carpentras. Maximum temperatures over France on Monday, July 22nd. Map: Meteociel. Top 15 METAR / SYNOP stations with the highest temperatures across Portugal, Spain […]

Parts of England and Wales are in for several sweltering days and temperatures in the upper 20s and low to mid-30s in the next several days. Part of the major heat wave across western and central Europe, England and Wales will push into well above-average temperatures. Temperatures will be in the upper 20s to low 30s across much of the region from Tuesday to Thursday, and even Friday for eastern parts of England. The hottest day will be Thursday, when temperatures will push up to 32-35 °C in large parts of England, with Wales pushing into mid to upper 20s. Tuesday, July 23rd Maximum temperatures on Tuesday. ICON-EU and GFS model guidance. Maps: Wxcharts / Meteociel. Wednesday, July 24th Maximum […]

Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A strong ridge is located across west-central Europe with a deep trough across N Atlantic and the Bay of Biscay. Upper low moves across ESE Europe. DISCUSSION SLGT risk has been issued for N Spain into the Bay of Biscay with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds and large hail. SLGT risk has been issued for NW France into SW England and Wales with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large hail. A few isolated supercells with large hail threat are possible during the peak time hours with clustering towards the evening while moving into the UK. SLGT risk has been issued for NE Turkey and […]

A development of another potentially record-breaking heat wave is expected this week. Again, similar to the late June intense and record-breaking heat wave for S France, extreme heat will spread across western Europe. We could actually see additional new record-breaking temperature values, precisely across parts of NE France, Benelux and W Germany by Thursday, as models are hinting at peak afternoon temperatures in excess of 40 °C! The highest temperatures ever recorded (per country) there are: +40.3 °C in Kitzingen, Germany on 5th of July 2015 and 7th of August 2015 +38.6 °C in Warnsveld, Netherlands on the 3rd of August 1944 +38.2 °C in Kleine-Brogel, Belgium on the 21st of August, 2009 A textbook Spanish plume pattern takes place […]

Severe Weather Outlooks FAQ SYNOPSIS A large trough is located over the N Atlantic and W Europe with a sharp short-wave crossing Benelux and NW Germany during the afternoon and evening hours. To the east of the trough, strengthening ridge is ongoing elsewhere except S Mediterranean and Balkan where remnants of an old upper low remain. Large low continues weakening over W Russia. DISCUSSION ENH risk has been issued for NE France across Benelux into WNW and N Germany with threat for severe storms, capable of producing severe winds, torrential rainfall and large to very large hail. In the early morning, a cluster of storms will enter from the UK and English channel towards NW Germany and Denmark with mainly […]

Most of the models have intensified the severity of the heat wave developing next week, trending into the potential for low 40s peak afternoon temperatures across parts of France. Stronger heat with 30-33 °C seems also increasingly likely across England from Tuesday to Thursday. The 500 mbar chart indicates a classic omega blocking ridge pattern developing, centered over western Europe. Two upper-level troughs / lows are located along its western and eastern flanks, one over the Black sea region and a deeper one over N Atlantic, resulting in a strong Spanish plume pattern with strong warm airmass advection across Iberia into France, Benelux and UK. Similar to the first intense heat wave a few weeks ago, the upcoming heat wave […]