Severe Weather Europe
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Post-tropical storm Ophelia made landfall in southern Ireland early this afternoon with storm to hurricane force winds. The extreme SW Ireland was likely hit by a sting jet. Damage has been reported from a number of locations. Some preliminary peak wind gust speed values so far: 191 km/h – Fastnet Lighthouse 155 km/h – Roches Point 138 km/h – Waterford Airport 135 km/h – Bouee 60023 (off SSE Ireland) 124 km/h – Cork Airport 119 km/h – Valentia 119 km/h – Sherkin Island Peak wind gust field is now shifting ENE-wards: expect the strongest winds in SE-E Ireland over the next few hours. Up to 135 km/h, stronger at higher elevations and in exposed areas. AROME model guidance for peak
Post-tropical storm Ophelia makes landfall in southern Ireland early this afternoon – peak winds reported so far: 191 km/h at Fastnet lighthouse, the most southerly point in Ireland, likely associated with a sting jet. 155 km/h reported at Roches Point, S Ireland. 120-135 km/h reported so far at other locations along the S coast of Ireland. Some preliminary values so far (note that peak winds in S-SE-E Ireland, as well as W Wales are expected later during landfall): 191 km/h – Fastnet Lighthouse 158 km/h – Glenanne (UK) 155 km/h – Roches Point 135 km/h – Bouee 60023 (off SSE Ireland) 124 km/h – Cork Airport 119 km/h – Valentia 119 km/h – Sherkin Island Keep in mind this data
Peak wind gusts of 191 km/h / 103 kt have already been reported at Fastnet Lighthouse, SW Ireland at 9:56 UTC! This is an extremely high value, more than most high-resolution models indicated and indicates a sting jet is likely indeed present. Peak wind gusts along the southern coast of Ireland may well approach 200 km/h. This is a very dangerous situation! Satellite analysis of post-tropical storm Ophelia rapidly approaching Ireland this morning. Notice the branches of “banded cloud head” pushed towards the SW Ireland, indicating that the sting jet structure is likely developed! Stay alert for dangerous weather along SW-S-SE Ireland until 3pm today! Source: EUMETSAT Read forecast on Ophelia over Ireland today here!
Post-tropical cyclone Ophelia is rapidly approaching Ireland for landfall over the southern part of the island within the next few hours. Expect a very severe and damaging windstorm with winds gusting at 130-160 km/h, up to 190 km/h at higher elevations and in exposed areas. This is a potentially very dangerous situation! Update [9:47 UTC]: 170 km/h gust already reported at Fastnet lighthouse! Satellite analysis of post-tropical storm Ophelia rapidly approaching Ireland this morning. Notice the “banded cloud head” pushed towards the SW Ireland, indicating a sting jet structure likely – this will pose threat for very damaging extremely severe winds with locally above 150 km/h gusts. Image: EUMETSAT. Ophelia has transitioned into a post-tropical cyclone, still packing hurricane-force winds.
Post-tropical cyclone Ophelia will make landfall in Ireland late this morning to early afternoon. Expect a very severe and damaging windstorm with wind gusts peaking at 130-160 km/h, up to 190 km/h at higher elevations. This is a potentially very dangerous situation! Latest airmass view of post-tropical cyclone Ophelia as it nears Ireland. Image: EUMETSAT. Ophelia has transitioned into a post-tropical cyclone, still packing hurricane-force winds: up to 130-135 km/h sustained, gusts well above 150 km/h. Central pressure is 968 mbar and the system is tracking NNE towards landfall in southern Ireland early this afternoon. Various high-resolution models are in good agreement: widespread severe to very severe winds across Ireland, Wales and Northern Ireland gusting at 120-150 km/h, locally up
A very warm day ahead in central and western Europe tomorrow: up to 25-26 °C in BeNeLux, 29-30 °C in SW France and up to 30-31 °C across the Iberian Peninsula. The powerful anticyclone over much of central Europe and the Mediterranean brings stable weather, with clear and sunny skies across much of the continent and very warm temperatures for the season. Temperature inversions with fog may form locally, but mostly erode by early afternoon. BeNeLux Up to 25-26 °C in parts of BeNeLux, and above 20 °C across the entire region. Map: Meteociel.fr. France Warm, up to 24-26 °C across much of the country, up to 30 °C in the extreme SW part of the country. Map: Meteociel.fr. Iberian
The currently Category 1 hurricane Ophelia will make landfall in Ireland tomorrow as a post-tropical cyclone packing strong storm to hurricane-force winds. Hurricane Ophelia late on Saturday, October 14, imaged by NASA Terra satellite, then a Category 3 Major Hurricane. Record-breaking Hurricane Ophelia keeps on going strong, currently (Sunday evening) a Category 1 Hurricane, with sustained 145 km/h (90 mph) winds. Ophelia reached Category 3 yesterday, with peak winds of 185 km/h (115 mph). The system displayed textbook hurricane structure and even underwent an eyewall replacement cycle yesterday. Category 1 Hurricane Ophelia late today (Sunday). Image: EUMETSAT. The system will transition into a powerful post-tropical cyclone, making landfall in southern Ireland tomorrow late morning and early afternoon. Latest ensemble forecast
The WINNER among the 30 entries in Week 19 is: 1. place – WINNER: Marko Korošec – 100 votes “Lightning barrage over N Adriatic sea, Aug 2013” by Marko Korošec. 2. place: Matija Uglješin – 88 votes “Horseshoe shaped cloud under an explosive CB in Vojvodina (Serbia) 17-June-2016” by Matija Uglješin. 3. place: Anže Polovšak – 85 votes “14.5.2017, Slovenia” by Anže Polovšak. 4. place: Jean Paul V Kranenburg – 56 votes “Thunderstorm with amzing Arcus: sat 23-08-2014” by Jean Paul V Kranenburg. 5. place: Christof Nolden – 49 votes “Thunderstorm near Baesweiler, Germany :)” by Christof Nolden. 6. place: Danica Venus – 46 votes “Lightning” by Danica Venus. 7. place: Włodek Cyptor – 45 votes “Shelf Cloud in Poland
Numerous waterspouts have been reported across the central Mediterranean over the past several days. Reports have come from all coastal areas of Italy, including Sicily and Sardinia as well as Malta. The region has been under the influence of a cold core upper low, providing a favourable environment for the formation of waterspouts. The Mediterranean sea is still warm, with surface temperatures 22-26 °C in the S-CNTRL part. The cold core upper low brings cooler air (currently 10-11 °C at 1500 m and -14 °C at 5000 m). A steep temperature gradient forms and in the absence of significant wind shear this is the typical environment for waterspouts. As the sea surface cooling typically lags behind air temperature drop during
The WINNER among the 38 entries in Week 18 is: 1. place – WINNER: Arnaud Poncelet – 165 votes “Supercell HP at rethel in France, 8 june 2014” by Arnaud Poncelet. 2. place: Jean Paul V Kranenburg – 69 votes “Impressive Shelf over Terneuzen, Zeeland (NL) 13-08-2015” by Jean Paul V Kranenburg. 3. place: Bart Pijper – 67 votes “Amazing undulatus asperatus clouds in the morning of 31 augustus 2015” by Bart Pijper. 4. place: Roby Dolnicar – 65 votes “My birthday storm back in 2012 that I almost missed. Kamnik-Slovenia” by Roby Dolnicar. 5. place: Carl Harlott – 64 votes “Incredible turbulence creating these very nicely formed undulatus asperatus over ipswich today.” by Carl Harlott. 6. place: Florian Dickmeiss
The WINNER among the 14 entries in Week 17 is: 1. place – WINNER: Asher HV – 55 votes “Storm going inside the mediterranean sea in Catalonia!! I hope you like it!!” by Asher HV. 2. place: Michele Sensi – 42 votes “Lunedì-27-06.2016 ore 00:11 — in Casalgrande Reggio Emilia.” by Michele Sensi. 3. place: Ryan Crouse – 37 votes “Under the Whale’s Mouth!!! July 10, 2016 – Wild Storm Structure near Willowbrook Sk. Canada!” by Ryan Crouse. 4. place: Sean Needham – 29 votes “My village… Perhaps one of the few daytime shots I’ve taken I’m really happy with (though a lesser grad filter would have been better as the cloud looks a touch dark). Taken back in 2014,
The WINNER among the 47 entries in Week 16 is: 1. place – WINNER: Entoni Novosel – 146 votes “Some old photo i taken back in 2012 , a lucky shot of a nighttime waterspout nicely lit by lightning :) Near the coast of Pula,Croatia” by Entoni Novosel. 2. place: Stavros Kesedakis – 80 votes “A large waterspout forming off of Rhodes island Greece (about 100 meters from the beach ), last December with a rainbow next to it …… Cyclone of Rhodes / JWSevereWeather” by Stavros Kesedakis. 3. place: Brandon Bakker – 72 votes “Triple :) 4 August 2015” by Brandon Bakker. 4. place: Mikal de Langen – 56 votes “Shelfcloud at night, 30th of August 2015” by Mikal
The WINNER among the 31 entries in Week 15 is: 1. place – WINNER: Kirby Wright – 84 votes “A flash of lightning revealing a nighttime tornado touching down, Illinois, March 2016” by Kirby Wright. 2. place: Nikola Pavlovic – 76 votes “Stormfie in front of Dodge City supercell 5/24/2016” by Nikola Pavlovic. 3. place: Stavros Kesedakis – 68 votes “A photogenic supercell with a double rainbow travelling at Kansas landscapes…..May 8th 2016” by Stavros Kesedakis. 4. place: Paweł Kalinowski – 64 votes “2017.04.13 Double rainbow — in Bukowiec, Lodz, Poland” by Paweł Kalinowski. 5. place: Biserka Radić Ugrekhelidze – 63 votes “Easter storm, Ptuj, Slovenia” by Biserka Radić Ugrekhelidze. 6. place: Mark Dawson – 57 votes “Tornadic supercell near
The WINNER among the 61 entries in Week 14 is: 1. place – WINNER: Geoff Green – 210 votes “Shot taken 19 / 03 / 2017 Supercell East Kimberley northern Australia” by Geoff Green. 2. place: Sandro Puncet – 106 votes “11.2.2016. island Lošinj / Croatia” by Sandro Puncet. 3. place: Elisah Vanhee – 97 votes “Long time ago that I was here…So here I go again… After spending the morning in Sioux Falls Park, SD on June 2, 2016, we went to the NW near La Plant and saw a shelf coming towards us in tiny babysteps ;) Was just wow… We stood on that spot for probably 1.5h or so I guess…You even see a gustnado on the
The WINNER among the 41 entries in Week 13 is: 1. place – WINNER: Kirby Wright – 89 votes “Overnight lightning barrage, Wisconsin, June 2013” by Kirby Wright. 2. place: Francesco Gennari – 79 votes “One of the three sisters, illuminated by a strong lightning strike over the north Adriatic Sea, last 14 July, 2016. From Gabicce Mare, Italy” by Francesco Gennari. 3. place: Sebastian Stöttinger – 77 votes “Really can’t wait any longer… I need a thunderstorm, now! :D Maybe like this one near Mons, Belgium back in June 2015. What a beast” by Sebastian Stöttinger. 4. place: Ingrid Grossauer – 73 votes “Thunderstorm-Clouds in the Mountains, Austria” by Ingrid Grossauer. 5. place: Marko Korošec – 71 votes “Isolated
The WINNER among the 43 entries in Week 20 is: 1. place – WINNER: Dantex Tex – 150 votes “Storm Vs Moon… 😍😍so lucky… Gorizia Italy 2016 past summer” by Dantex Tex. 2. place: Stavros Kesedakis – 92 votes “Skyhigh / Atoka / Oklahoma – Impressive meso that produced an EF1 tornado in Hugo Oklahoma on the 9th of May 2016” by Stavros Kesedakis. 2. place: Sara Esopi – 92 votes “Mammatus clouds over a wheat field, June 2016, Medicina (BO), Italy” by Sara Esopi. 3. place: Marko Korošec – 86 votes “Daytime lightning in front of a supercell off Istra, Croatia on Aug 10th, 2016” by Marko Korošec. 4. place: Sandro Puncet – 83 votes “Positive lightning bolt from
The powerful Hurricane Maria has made landfall on Puerto Rico. The powerful hurricane packs 155 mph (250 km/h) sustained winds, a high end Category 4 hurricane. Early reports indicate the entire island is engulfed in hurricane-force winds, with peak winds of 155 mph (250 km/h). The eyewall of Hurricane Maria made landfall over Yabucoa in the southeastern part of the island. First visible light image of the day of Hurricane Maria engulfing Puerto Rico. Image: NOAA RAMMB / CIRA. Aircraft recon obs of Hurricane Maria’s winds at flight level at 11:28 UTC today as the hurricane made landfall. Image: Tropical Tidbits. The island was likely spared Category 5 damage by a fortunate timing of the eyewall replacement cycle – the
A major, magnitude 7.1 earthquake hit Mexico late yesterday, September 19. Particularly hard hit was the Puebla region. Preliminary analysis of the event indices the epicenter was approcimately 58 km SW of Puebla de Zaragoza, Mexico, a city of nearly 3 million, at a depth of approximately 50 km. Reports suggest many buildings in Puebla were damaged, with many collapses. 200 fatalities have been reported so far, however, the number may rise significantly. Preliminary fault plane solutions (i.e. earthquake mechanism) indicates the main shock happened on a normal fault and is not directly related with the September 8 magnitude 8.1 earthquake. Preliminary fault plane solutions. Image: EMSC. Below are some of the first reports from the area hit hardest:
The Category 5 Hurricane Maria is now tracking for landfall on Puerto Rico. The powerful hurricane packs 165 mph (270 km/h) sustained winds. The powerful Category 5 Hurricane Maria has Puerto Rico dead in its sights. The latest public advisory by the NOAA National Hurricane Center has Maria sustaining 165 mph (270 km/h) winds, a solid Category 5 hurricane, while tracking towards Puerto Rico at about 10 mph (17 km/h). Central pressure has dropped to 910 mbar. Radar imagery of the hurricane indicates a double eyewall. The tight inner (‘pinhole’) eye, with the extremely powerful wind field and a distinct outer eyewall, about 3 to 4-times the diameter of the inner one. It is likely the hurricane will go through
The tiny sovereign island country Dominica got a direct hit by the Category 5 Hurricane Maria. At the time of landfall the hurricane packed 160 mph (260 km/h) sustained wind and displayed a very tight, pinhole eye, indicative of a very powerful system. In the hours leading up to landfall, Maria organized and strengthened extremely rapidly, going from a Category 1 to a Category 5 hurricane in only 15 hours. By the time it hit, the hurricane packed 160 mph (260 km/h) sustained wind and displayed a very tight, pinhole eye. All signs of a powerful and very dangerous system. Dominica is part of the Windward Islands in the Lesser Antilles archipelago. It is tiny, with a total area of
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23. novembri ekstreemumid 2007-2017
Täna Tallinnas kõige soojem on olnud 9,1°C (1958) ja külmem -15,1°C (1971).
Täna Tartus kõige soojem on olnud 9,2°C (1980) ja külmem -15,3°C (1927).
23.11 hommikul tugevneb kagutuul puhanguti 15-18 m/s.
23.11. hommikupoole ööd tugevneb kagu- ja lõunatuul 14, puhanguti 20 m/s
23.11. pärast keskööd tugevneb kagu- ja lõunatuul 14, puhanguti 20 m/s
23.11. pärast keskööd tugevneb kagu- ja lõunatuul 14, puhanguti 20 m/s
23.11. öösel tugevneb kagu- ja lõunatuul 14-17, puhanguti kuni 22 m/s
23.11 hommikul tugevneb kagutuul 8-12, päeval puhanguti 15 m/s.