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Pattern flip and warmer weather over northern, northwestern and parts of central Europe over the next few days
A period of warmer weather is coming for northern, central and western and parts of central Europe over the next few days, as a rex blocking pattern establishes over Europe. 500 mb height anomaly over Europe midday today, December 18. A strong anticyclone is centered over NW Europe, while a cutoff low us positioned over the southern Balkans. Map by www.pivotalweather.com Daytime highs will be climbing higher over the next several days across northern and northwestern Europe. Northern Germany and Denmark and southern Sweden and Norway will likely climb close to 10 °C by the second half of the week. UK and Ireland will likely go above 10 °C, with some areas possibly pushing towards 15 °C, particularly in southern
Exceptional view of the very deep cyclone Ana/Yves currently over NW France! Central mean sea level pressure has dropped all the way to 965 mbar, a very deep system for so far south! Slender wisps of clouds wrapping around the core of the system suggest evaporational cooling in the area and sinking of air, enhancing maximum winds. Peak winds of 161 km/h have been reported in western Pays de la loire and Pointou-Charentes (station Ile de Ré – Saint-Clément-des-Baleines (17))! Exceptional satellite view of the deep cyclone over W France this morning! Note the wispy cloud structure wrapping around the southern part of the core, suggesting evaporational cooling in the area and sinking of air, enhancing maximum winds. Image: EUMETSAT.
Extremely heavy precipitation over parts of the Alps, northern Apennines and northern Dinarides over the next 48-72 hours
Strong warm air advection with southerlies and southwesterlies, caused by successive deep lows over central Europe will cause intense precipitation along the southern and western flanks of the Alps, the northern Apennines and the northern Dinarides over the next 48-72 hours. Rainfall totals (or equivalent in snow at higher elevations) of over 300 mm are possible. ICON-EU model guidance for total precipitation across the Alpine region and the northern Mediterrnean by early Wednesday. Map: Wxcharts.eu The strongest precipitation is expected over parts of NE Italy, W Slovenia and NW Croatia. High-resolution models suggest up to 250-350 mm of rainfall across the Liguria, S Piemonte, N Tuscany and W Emilia Romagna. Locally significant flash flooding is expected. Expect mostly rainfall, some
The series of successive deep lows over central Europe today and through Tuesday will result in a very steep pressure gradient between central Europe and the Mediterranean. It will result in unusually strong southwesterly winds and strong warm air advection from the Mediterranean into the Alps. Additionally, strong Foehn effect will further raise the air temperature along the northern Alpine flanks. ICON-EU model guidance for peak wind gusts at 850 mbar level (1500 m) across the Alpine region on Monday. Map: Wxcharts.eu Intense southwesterlies are likely to gust well above 150 km/h across higher elevations of in central and eastern Alps, with many locations likely approaching 200 km/h, possibly even exceeding it. Winds are expected to strengthen throughout the remainder
A considerably deep low is making its way across the northern parts of central Europe. It brings windy weather and another round of snow to the region. GFS model guidance for wind and mean sea level pressure on Sunday late afternoon. Map: Pivotal Weather The low will move across the English Channel over the coast of Belgium into the Netherands and across northern Germany throughout the day today and early tomorrow. Central mean sea level pressure is expected to be below 980 mbar. Expect windy weather across the English channel, extreme north of France, northern Belgium and western Netherlands with winds gusting up to 90-110 km/h. ARPEGE model guidance for peak wind gusts across central Europe on Sunday. Map: Wxcharts.eu
Rapid deep cyclogenesis will take place during the night and tomorrow over Ireland and the British Isles. Cold mid levels will combine with strong advection of humid low-level airmass, resulting in significant snowfall across parts of Ireland and the UK. Various models are in very good agreement for snowfall across Ireland as well as Wales and central England. GFS model, map by www.wxcharts.eu Up to 10-15 cm of snowfall seems likely for parts of central Ireland. Wales will see up to 15-25 cm of snow, locally possibly more. Central England will likely see up to 10 cm snow. Depending on the track of the low, some snow may fall also in southern England, as far south as Somerse, Wilthire, northern
Very deep trough over western Europe, significant warming into central Europe and Balkan peninsula on Monday
An extremely dynamic pattern is evolving over Europe this weekend as a very deep upper trough / low has established over northern Europe. Further development of the pattern suggests an additional deepening of the trough while it spreads towards western and central Europe. Its core will be exceptionally deep as can be seen on the map below, meanwhile a strengthening upper ridge will evolve across SE Europe and the Balkan peninsula. In between, a sharp pressure and temperature gradient will result in a very powerful jet stream with strong warm air advection from the Mediterranean region well north into central Europe and towards the eastern Europe. Keep in mind that this sharp flip comes just a day after the very
An interesting weather pattern is shaping up for the western Europe where a very deep trough currently sitting over N Europe will be spreading south towards central Europe and another trough will be pushed across far N Atlantic towards the western Europe. As a result of merging troughs, a large and deep cyclone will form over the British Isles on Sunday and gradually move towards Benelux on Monday. Conditions will be favorable for quite some good amounts of snow also over parts of UK, Ireland and Scotland as mid-levels will be significantly cooler than lately and indeed well below zero degrees Celsius, while the humid airmass associated with deepening cyclone will be entering from the SW. This will result in
Central Europe and Alpine region are in for another deep trough and significant cold blast passage this weekend as a sharp cold front is expected to cross the region tonight, bringing a lot of fresh by tomorrow afternoon snow especially for parts of Slovenia and Croatia. The deep trough is a result of blocked N Atlantic and so meridional flow has established across Europe, meaning colder weather and deep troughs from the Arctic region towards the Mediterranean and Balkan peninsula. This same trough which is digging towards south today, has resulted in apowerful windstorm over Scotland and Faroe Islands yesterday and dumped a lot of snow and rain over the WSW Scandinavia. 500 mb heights anomaly on tonight, Saturday Dec
Cyclone Caroline underwent explosive cyclogenesis early on Thursday, rapidly deepening to a 963 mbar central pressure at 10h UTC on December 7. Parts of Scotland, Faroe Islands and SW Norway were hit with up to hurricane force winds. Morning (Dec 7, 9:15 UTC) analysis of cyclone Carolina [by Guido Cioni]. The system underwent explosive cyclogenesis dropping from 982 mbar at 15h UTC on Dec 6 to 965 mbar at 6h UTC on Dec 7 – a drop of 17 mbar in 15h, true bombogenesis, as reported by Centre Meteo UQAM. The center of the cyclone moved just north of Scotland during the late morning and early afternoon hours of December 7, with central pressure hovering around 963-965 mbar. Peak wind
Lots of new snow for parts of Slovenia and Croatia, Switzerland and extreme SE France later this week – a first look
A deep trough will push deep into central Europe and the Alpine area / northern Mediterranean on Friday. Strong snowfall is expected across the NW Alps in Switzerland and SE France. A Genoa low is expected to form on Saturday, producing another round of strong snowfall across the Alps and the Dinarides of western Slovenia and northwestern Croatia, extending into Bosnia and Herzegovina and Montenegro. ARPEGE model, map by www.wxcharts.eu Large amounts of fresh snow are expected over the NW Alps, up to 50 cm, locally more. Up to 20-50 cm snow is also expected over the Julian Alps and the Dinarides of W Slovenia and into NW Croatia. Thundersnow is possible across SW Slovenia and NW Croatia as up
Explosive cyclogenesis is underway north of Scotland right now, with cyclone Carolina rapidly deepening over the past hours, now at 973 mbar and expected to continue. The cyclone is expected to produce an intense windstorm across Scotland, particularly northern parts. High-resolution models suggest gusts in 100-140 km/h range over a wide area, up to 170-180 km/h at higher elevations. Peak wind gusts across British Isles on Thursday morning per ICON-EU model, map by www.wxcharts.eu Peak wind gusts across Scotland on Thursday morning per ARPEGE model, map by www.wxcharts.eu Stay tuned for updates!
Here we go, yet another powerful cold outbreak is expected this weekend as a deep trough coming in from the Northern Europe deepens and digs far south towards the Mediterranean. This is the same trough which will cause the damaging windstorm over Scotland on Thursday, developing an open channel for significant cold advection behind the main frontal system, stretching from the Arctic towards central Europe into N Balkan peninsula and northern Mediterranean. Once the cold front has passed on Saturday, very cold airmass will spread behind it and several days of much colder weather than average are increasingly likely over west-central Europe and N-CNTRL Mediterranean. At coldest, average daily temperatures will in some areas be 10 °C colder than average.Also,
A potentially dangerous setup is forecast for the northern British Isles (mostly Scotland and the surrounding islands) on Thursday. Explosive cyclogenesis (a so-called bombogenesis) is expected to take place north of the Isles in response to a very sharp drop in temperature aloft. As a result, a rapidly deepening cyclone will form from early Thursday morning where central pressure will likely drop from near 985 mb to below 960 mb in less than 12 hours. Pressure gradient across Europe per ECMWF model, map by www.pivotalweather.com Various high-resolutions models (ARPEGE, ICON-EU) are simulating a very dangerous windstorm, where wind gusts could locally reach above 180 km/h or even exceed 200 km/h. Especially severe winds are expected across the higher terrain in
Global models are actually in quite good agreement for the next 10 days where a likely new outbreak of Arctic airmass will be pushed meridionally across Europe next weekend. Indeed it is still 7-8 days ahead and a lot of details is yet to be determined. As far as models are predicting currently, a deep trough would result in several deep cyclones in the Mediterranean, bringing frontal systems with severe weather (excessive rainfall, severe storms, waterspouts, excessive snowfall, blizzard conditions) in some places. We’re closely monitoring the evolution of the pattern through the coming days and will keep you updated. Both GFS and ECMWF (including ensemble forecasts) are simulating a deep trough pushed south towards the Mediterranean which would result
Several of spectacular waterspouts formed over the coast of the Ligurian sea near San Remo, NW Italy yesterday, December 1. The region was under a cold core upper low. We gathered some of the finest reported photos and videos below – enjoy! Report: Météo Côte D’Azur – En Direct. Report: Report: Bassa Pianura Padana Photo e Meteo ❄. Report: Beatrice Streppa. Report: The storm Europe. Report: Météo Côte D’Azur – En Direct. Photo: Andrea Gerne. Spectacular video of San Remo #waterspout today. WOW! Video by Jenna-Jefferson-Thillier. @ReedTimmerAccu @spann @SeanSchofer pic.twitter.com/s77fUQx7tC — severe-weather.EU (@severeweatherEU) 1 December 2017 Another beautiful view of the spectacular #waterspout off San Remo, Liguria, NW #Italy today, Dec 1! WOW! Report: Tornado in Italia pic.twitter.com/ExdtmHK8Q3 — severe-weather.EU
Western Greece and Albania are in for another round of intense rainfall, which is likely to result in significant flooding. High-resolution models suggest locally between 300 and 400 mm of rainfall in the next 3 to 4 days. Map: Pivotal Weather A large cutoff low is forming over the western Mediterranean. Strong and persistent warm air advection in the warm sector will produce ongoing convective and orographic rainfall across the coasts of S Adriatic and Ionian seas and further inland in the mountainous terrain of Albania and NW Greece. Rainfall totals approaching 400 mm are possible in the next 4 days! Total accumulated rainfall by early Monday, ARPEGE model guidance. Map: Wxcharts.eu Total accumulated rainfall by mid-Sunday, ICON model guidance.
Winter weather is finally here as a large upper trough deepens while moving into central Europe and northern Mediterranean this week. In response to significant cooling aloft, frontal system will form over the Alps and the Mediterranean sea, resulting in several waves crossing countries. Therefore some good amounts of snow are expected until Friday, Dec 1st. One frontal system will be affecting areas from E France across S Germany and Austria towards Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland, bringing quite a lot of snow in some areas – locally up to 20-30cm is possible, especially above 1000m ASL. Further south across the Alps and NW Mediterranean, another cyclone will be moving and bring excessive rainfall and snowfall further inland. It appears
A wave of cold Arctic maritime air will push into western and central Europe in the next several days, reaching as far south as southern Spain, western and central Mediterranean and into northwestern Africa. Air temperatures at 850 mbar level (~1500 m) will be up to 10 °C colder than average for this period, locally even colder. Map of 850 mbar (~1500 m altitude) temperature anomaly for Friday, GFS model guidance. Map: Tropical Tidbits. In addition to cooler temperatures, the cold push will also bring snowfall to much of central Europe, the northern Mediterranean region. Particularly strong snowfall is expected over the southern Alps, northern Apennines and northwestern Dinarides, as a cutoff Genoa low will form over the northern Meditterranean
Pattern flip coming! This week starts with a strengthening ridge over WSW Europe, gradually expanding eastwards towards central Europe. To the east, deep but weakening trough is maintaining cold weather across the Balkan peninsula and surroundings. This should change in the coming days as an upper ridge / blocking dominates our continent. Once the blocking pattern establishes, a deep longwave trough will move over the N Atlantic and western Europe. Several waves will result in deep cyclones bringing unsettled conditions for the British Isles as well as Faroe Islands later this week. Cyclones will be moving towards the Norwegian coast. Locally very significant rainfall and severe winds associated with these cyclones are likely until the weekend. Areas under the upper
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19. veebruari ekstreemumid 2008-2018
Täna Tallinnas kõige soojem on olnud 6,3°C (1998) ja külmem -26,2°C (1844).
Täna Tartus kõige soojem on olnud 7,6°C (1998) ja külmem -30,3°C (1963).